Modeling COVID-19 dynamics in Nepal: SEIQR compartmental model with quarantine

Authors

  • Sujan Pokharel Department of Mathematics, School of Science, Kathmandu University, Dhulikhel, Kavre, Nepal.
  • Ganga Ram Phaijoo Department of Mathematics, School of Science, Kathmandu University, Dhulikhel, Kavre, Nepal.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.70530/kuset.v19i1.596

Keywords:

Compartmental model, COVID-19, Basic reproduction number, Equilibrium points, Stability analysis, Sensitivity analysis

Abstract

Mathematical modeling is crucial to understand the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases and to develop effective control strategies. In this study, we introduce a compartmental SEIQR model (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantine-Recovered) that incorporates quarantine measures to analyze the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Nepal. The next generation approach is used to compute the model’s basic reproduction number. The model’s equilibrium points are obtained, and their stability is assessed with the help of the basic reproduction number. Sensitivity analysis is used to examine the importance and influence of the model parameters on the spread of disease.

Published

2025-03-31

How to Cite

Pokharel, S., & Phaijoo, G. R. (2025). Modeling COVID-19 dynamics in Nepal: SEIQR compartmental model with quarantine. Kathmandu University Journal of Science Engineering and Technology, 19(1). https://doi.org/10.70530/kuset.v19i1.596

Issue

Vol. 19 No. 1 (2025): Kathmandu University Journal of Science, Engineering and Technology (KUSET)

Section

Original Research Articles
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

This work is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0